November 2026 Webinar: Bias, Base Rates, and Better Decisions: Five Techniques Project Risk Analysts Use That CRQ Practitioners Should Too| Manuel Carmona

Speakers: Manuel Carmona

Admission: Free

Abstract: 

Cyber risk quantification and project risk analysis share the same probabilistic foundations, but practitioners rarely exchange lessons across the two fields. Drawing on more than 25 years of experience, Manuel Carmona will share practical techniques for selecting distributions, understanding tail risk and correlations, and communicating uncertainty to decision-makers.

Speaker Bio: 

Manuel Carmona (MBA, PMI-RMP®) is an independent consultant, trainer, author, and PhD researcher at the University of Westminster specialising in artificial intelligence, project risk management, and quantitative risk analysis. With more than 25 years of international experience, he has trained over 3,000 practitioners in probabilistic modelling, Monte Carlo simulation, and advanced risk management across energy, engineering, construction, infrastructure, finance, and technology. He is the author of Artificial Intelligence and Risk Analysis in Projects (Routledge) and its Spanish-language counterpart Inteligencia Artificial y Análisis de Riesgos en Proyectos (Marcombo, 2026). He is a PMI-RMP® Authorised Instructor and holds a PMI AI Expert certificate. He speaks English, Spanish, and French. 

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